{"id":12083,"date":"2018-10-10T09:53:53","date_gmt":"2018-10-10T09:53:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cnr.v2.mila.celaneo.com\/publications\/perspectives-economiques-et-couts-du-trm-octobre-2018\/"},"modified":"2025-09-24T10:56:05","modified_gmt":"2025-09-24T10:56:05","slug":"perspectives-economiques-et-couts-du-trm-octobre-2018","status":"publish","type":"publications","link":"https:\/\/cnr.v2.mila.celaneo.com\/en\/archives\/publications\/perspectives-economiques-et-couts-du-trm-octobre-2018","title":{"rendered":"Economic outlook and TRM costs \u2013 October 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>What trends should be taken into account when preparing budgets, prices and investments for the coming year? This new framework clarifies the economic situation and will be supplemented by the publication of the \u00ab2019 costs\u00bb (usually released in November).<\/p>\n<p>While the US economy is rebounding, the rest of the world is experiencing a slowdown: growth is slowing, and the lack of momentum observed at the beginning of 2018 is gradually dissipating.<\/p>\n<p>According to the OECD, global growth is nevertheless expected to reach +3.7% in the current year, which is 0.2 percentage points above the 2017 level. The slowdown in the eurozone is similar: +2.2% growth is expected after +2.4% in 2017.<\/p>\n<p>In France, the slowdown is also noticeable and is continuing into the second quarter. French GDP growth is expected to be +1.6% in 2018, after +2.3% in 2017.<\/p>\n<p>Growth forecasts for 2019 remain unchanged from 2018 at global level and slightly down at European level. However, with oil and dollar prices rising and various threats to global trade (US policy, Brexit, etc.), uncertainty is growing, with the risk of a more pronounced slowdown on the horizon for 2020, particularly for the US economy.<\/p>\n<p>Over the past year, TRM operating costs have risen by between +1.5% and +1.6% excluding diesel, and between +4.0% and +5.0% including diesel, depending on the speciality.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What trends should be taken into account when preparing budgets, prices and investments for the coming year? This new framework clarifies the economic situation and will be supplemented by the publication of the \u00ab2019 costs\u00bb (usually released in November). While the US economy is rebounding, the rest of the world is experiencing a slowdown: growth is slowing, the lack of momentum observed in [...]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_uag_custom_page_level_css":"","prix_ht":null,"acces_payant":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[231],"tags":[370,385,375,562,358,263],"class_list":["post-12083","publications","type-publications","status-publish","hentry","category-conjoncture","tag-conjoncture","tag-couts","tag-economie","tag-personnel","tag-perspectives","tag-trm"],"blocksy_meta":[],"uagb_featured_image_src":{"full":false,"thumbnail":false,"medium":false,"medium_large":false,"large":false,"1536x1536":false,"2048x2048":false,"trp-custom-language-flag":false},"uagb_author_info":{"display_name":"admin admin","author_link":"https:\/\/cnr.v2.mila.celaneo.com\/en\/archives\/author\/celaneo3"},"uagb_comment_info":0,"uagb_excerpt":"Quelles tendances prendre en compte pour pr\u00e9parer budgets, tarifs, investissements pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e \u00e0 venir&nbsp;? Ce nouveau cadrage pr\u00e9cise la situation \u00e9conomique, il sera enrichi avec la publication des \u00ab&nbsp;co\u00fbts&nbsp;2019&nbsp;\u00bb (habituellement diffus\u00e9e en novembre). Pendant que l\u2019\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine rebondit, le reste du monde connait une phase d\u2019atterrissage&nbsp;: la croissance ralentit, le manque de dynamisme observ\u00e9 en&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cnr.v2.mila.celaneo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publications\/12083","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cnr.v2.mila.celaneo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publications"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cnr.v2.mila.celaneo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/publications"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cnr.v2.mila.celaneo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/14"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/cnr.v2.mila.celaneo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publications\/12083\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13402,"href":"https:\/\/cnr.v2.mila.celaneo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publications\/12083\/revisions\/13402"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cnr.v2.mila.celaneo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12083"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cnr.v2.mila.celaneo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12083"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cnr.v2.mila.celaneo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12083"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}